The Surprisingly Steady 2024 Election Race: Insights from the Politics Desk
Latest News and Analysis from the NBC News Politics Team: Biden vs. Trump, Trump Trial Recap, and More
Title: NBC News Poll Shows Stable Race Between Biden and Trump, Trump Trial Continues in New York
In the latest edition of “From the Politics Desk,” NBC News senior political editor Mark Murray analyzes the findings of the new NBC News poll, revealing a largely stable race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Despite some fluctuations, the race remains competitive, with both candidates maintaining consistent levels of support among registered voters.
According to the poll, Biden’s approval rating has increased by 5 points since January, narrowing the gap between him and Trump to just 2 points. However, this puts Biden back in a similar position to where he was in the fall of 2023, raising questions about his re-election prospects.
The poll also highlights the stability of congressional preferences, with 47% of respondents favoring a GOP-controlled Congress and 46% preferring Democrats. This balance has remained relatively unchanged for years, indicating a consistent level of support for both parties.
Despite the overall stability of the race, the poll identifies three potential wild cards that could disrupt the status quo. These include Trump’s ongoing trial in New York, the impact of third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and the potential for lower voter turnout in the upcoming election.
In a separate report, White House reporter Katherine Doyle provides updates on the fifth day of Trump’s trial in New York. Prosecutors laid out their case against Trump, alleging a criminal conspiracy to cover up hush money payments during the 2016 presidential election. The trial also saw the emergence of the “Access Hollywood” tape as evidence and discussions about the possibility of Trump testifying.
As the race between Biden and Trump remains stable yet unpredictable, the political landscape continues to evolve. Stay tuned for more updates from the NBC News Politics team.